1) In Control: An episode before the finale and eight castaways were still standing. Matt, Mike, Andrea, Grant in Redemption Island and Boston Rob, Phillip, Natalie, Ashley in Murlonio camp. And, only one person who is in control. That’s B-O-S-T-O-N R-O-B! It’s uncertain why Natalie, Ashley, Phillip and Grant did not vote against or blindside him when he’s not wearing an immunity necklace. It could have been the right time. It could have been the right moment but those four completely blew their chances and they only grant Boston Rob the one million dollars. Don’t they know Rob will be their biggest competition for the title? Didn’t they watch the past seasons of the show? Or, were they playing a game without any strategy at all?
On the other hand, I also don’t know if it will be a guarantee for someone who’s in Redemption Island to secure a spot in the final three. Of course, that someone will immediately be on a chopping board. Boston Rob, Phillip, Natalie and Ashley will be 100% threatened by him or her. To be honest, it’s not a good entertainment to see someone returning in the game and be voted out just because he or she does not win immunity.
Perhaps, it’s not only a question of who deserves to return in the game but will the most deserving player return in the game and has the ability to handle pressure well?
2) No Control: It’s disappointing to see Grant got eliminated without a good fight. That was not a blindside at all. He knew it after Ashley won the immunity challenge. I just don’t know if he’s well-aware if he could have orchestrated a plan to oust Boston Rob, his chances of winning is high. However, there’s still 50-50 chance for Grant to return and if he’ll be the last man standing and convincingly beat Matt, Mike and Andrea in the last four-person-duel, that spells trouble for Boston Rob. He’ll probably end up as a runner-up again.
3) Who’ll Win Survivor Redemption Island?: Boston Rob deserves to win. That’s given. I have said it in my previous posts multiple times. His chances of winning is 80% even if he’ll not win the final immunity challenge. There are only two reasons why Boston Rob will not be the sole survivor. It is either Mike or Grant returns and be in the final three. That brings me to the other sure player to win – Mike (100% winning chances). He’s one of the most well-rounded players in history to play this game (but also one of the biggest threat), even Boston Rob is completely aware of that. The only reason why Mike did not last long was because he’s outnumbered. Grant or Andrea is the third deserving player to win this game. Both of them are likeable. If they can give a valid reason why the jury should vote for them, they can win. Winning chances: 60%.
Matt is primarily a “best dueler of the season,” not the sole survivor. To be called the “deserving” sole survivor, he or she has outwitted, outplayed and outlasted other competitors. The sole survivor understands why and how to begin playing a game with a group and he or she can easily rearrange his or her gameplan when it’s an individual game. Looking back, Matt got the boot in day six, won six duels in a row and came back during the merge. This was his moment to fight and to create an important decision to stay longer. Just one decision and he would have been safe. However, he wasted all his chances and allowed his vulnerability to devour him. Boston Rob did not vote him out. It was Matt himself who “silently” told the group to vote against him for the second time. Winning Chances: 51% “just because he’s the underdog”
Natalie, Ashley, Phillip are somehow on the same board in different rooms (49% winning chances). Natalie started strong by winning the first individual immunity during the merge but her gameplan went south by relying too much on Boston Rob. Ashley is not my bet at all from the beginning but I seem to think she’ll be the dark horse. By winning the immunity challenge before a finale episode was not simply a luck. She worked hard to win the challenge and she knew she needed it. She can convince the jury why to vote for her should she make the final three, but it’s inevitable for many viewers to label her as “forgetful.” As for Phillip, he’s the star of the season and I seem to think all his plans of becoming “an annoying specialist” might be rewarded.
Episode 13 Rating: 6 of 10 stars
Photos courtesy of: CBS